Pre-tourney Rankings
East Carolina
American Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#159
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#159
Pace65.0#248
Improvement+0.4#154

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#281
First Shot-5.8#317
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#75
Layup/Dunks-2.5#273
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#178
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#285
Freethrows+0.3#165
Improvement+1.1#114

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#59
First Shot+5.7#38
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#280
Layups/Dunks+2.4#88
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#205
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#86
Freethrows+1.8#70
Improvement-0.7#224
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 331   Grambling St. W 72-57 92%     1 - 0 +0.1 +0.0 +1.9
  Nov 14, 2016 349   N.C. A&T W 61-51 97%     2 - 0 -12.0 -18.4 +7.6
  Nov 17, 2016 237   @ Charlotte L 64-76 60%     2 - 1 -14.2 -11.0 -3.2
  Nov 20, 2016 322   Stetson W 73-50 90%     3 - 1 +9.7 -14.3 +22.5
  Nov 22, 2016 345   Florida A&M W 82-62 96%     4 - 1 +0.8 +3.1 -1.5
  Nov 25, 2016 146   Mercer L 66-70 47%     4 - 2 -2.9 -4.1 +0.9
  Nov 26, 2016 215   Air Force W 70-63 65%     5 - 2 +3.5 -6.7 +10.2
  Nov 29, 2016 306   Hampton W 68-48 88%     6 - 2 +7.9 -1.2 +11.0
  Dec 03, 2016 182   NC Central W 69-56 64%     7 - 2 +9.6 +0.8 +9.7
  Dec 06, 2016 11   @ Virginia L 53-76 4%     7 - 3 -2.6 +7.8 -16.2
  Dec 15, 2016 93   College of Charleston L 35-53 43%     7 - 4 -15.7 -32.0 +14.6
  Dec 20, 2016 67   @ UNC Wilmington L 71-81 17%     7 - 5 +0.5 -1.8 +2.3
  Dec 22, 2016 350   Presbyterian W 76-56 97%     8 - 5 -2.4 -6.0 +3.7
  Dec 28, 2016 279   South Florida W 60-49 83%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +1.1 -9.6 +11.8
  Dec 31, 2016 13   SMU L 44-75 9%     9 - 6 1 - 1 -15.8 -12.2 -11.5
  Jan 03, 2017 68   @ Central Florida L 45-48 17%     9 - 7 1 - 2 +7.5 -16.3 +23.7
  Jan 07, 2017 107   @ Temple L 62-81 29%     9 - 8 1 - 3 -13.0 -5.1 -8.8
  Jan 11, 2017 53   Houston L 58-74 25%     9 - 9 1 - 4 -8.5 -0.8 -10.8
  Jan 15, 2017 24   Cincinnati L 46-55 12%     9 - 10 1 - 5 +4.0 -13.1 +15.9
  Jan 22, 2017 84   @ Connecticut L 65-72 23%     9 - 11 1 - 6 +1.3 +4.9 -4.3
  Jan 25, 2017 126   Tulsa W 69-66 54%     10 - 11 2 - 6 +2.4 -1.0 +3.6
  Jan 28, 2017 92   @ Memphis L 50-57 25%     10 - 12 2 - 7 +0.4 -15.2 +15.0
  Feb 01, 2017 13   @ SMU L 46-86 4%     10 - 13 2 - 8 -19.7 -14.8 -8.5
  Feb 04, 2017 223   Tulane W 74-65 74%     11 - 13 3 - 8 +2.6 +2.0 +1.1
  Feb 11, 2017 279   @ South Florida L 57-64 70%     11 - 14 3 - 9 -11.9 -7.8 -5.1
  Feb 15, 2017 107   Temple W 78-64 48%     12 - 14 4 - 9 +15.0 +8.9 +6.7
  Feb 18, 2017 68   Central Florida L 58-61 31%     12 - 15 4 - 10 +2.4 -2.8 +5.0
  Feb 21, 2017 223   @ Tulane W 76-73 57%     13 - 15 5 - 10 +1.7 +2.4 -0.8
  Feb 26, 2017 126   @ Tulsa L 66-74 35%     13 - 16 5 - 11 -3.5 +11.8 -17.2
  Mar 01, 2017 84   Connecticut W 66-62 39%     14 - 16 6 - 11 +7.3 +1.8 +5.8
  Mar 05, 2017 53   @ Houston L 51-73 13%     14 - 17 6 - 12 -9.4 -14.1 +3.7
  Mar 09, 2017 107   Temple W 80-69 38%     15 - 17 +14.5 +10.7 +4.1
  Mar 10, 2017 13   SMU L 77-81 6%     15 - 18 +13.7 +14.4 -0.8
Projected Record 15.0 - 18.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%